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Declining Fertility Rates Across Indian States and What Replacement Level Means

· India · Indian Express, Moneycontrol

India's fertility rate is on a downward trajectory, with projections indicating that every state will fall below the replacement fertility level by 2039. Zerodha co-founder Nithin Kamath highlighted these demographic trends based on a report by Data For India, pointing out correlations with income and education levels. Replacement fertility is defined as the average of 2.1 children per woman required for a generation to replace itself without migration. Experts note that falling below this threshold does not cause an immediate population drop, as population change is also influenced by age structure, mortality, and migration. The ongoing shift is driven by factors such as urbanisation, increased access to education and contraception, and delayed marriages.

Why it matters

The steady decline in fertility rates will alter India's age structure over time, presenting long-term economic and workforce planning challenges for policymakers and healthcare systems.

Read the original report — Indian Express

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