El Nino-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths by February 2027
· World · The Independent, New Scientist, The Hindu
This year's powerful El Nino and record global heat could lead to nearly half a million more heat-related deaths worldwide by the end of February 2027, according to a University of Chicago-based Climate Impact Lab report. The study estimates 451,000 additional heat-related deaths between June 2026 and February 2027 compared to a typical year, with the heaviest toll expected in poorer countries already facing food insecurity and high energy costs. The Sahel region in Africa is projected to be the hardest-hit, with about 66,800 additional deaths, while South and Southeast Asia and parts of Latin America are also major hot spots. Researchers project about 19,400 additional heat-related deaths across the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand and Cambodia. The study combined seasonal temperature forecasts with localized mortality estimates across more than 24,000 regions worldwide.
Why it matters
Vulnerable populations in developing countries, particularly in the Global South, face significantly increased health risks from extreme heat exacerbated by El Nino. The findings underscore the urgent need for heat adaptation measures and climate resilience in regions least equipped to cope.
Read the original report — The Independent
Join us on Telegram
Breaking news the moment it lands. At 10,000 members we ship the Android app.