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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Tests Bond Market Credibility as Treasury Yields Climb

· Business · Fortune, New York Times, Bloomberg

Treasury yields have climbed higher after softer inflation and labor data dampened the picture for Federal Reserve rate hikes. Thirty-year and 20-year Treasuries sit near 5.3%, marking levels not seen since 2007. Bassam Nawfal, chief asset allocation strategist at Alpine Macro, noted that the rise in the term premium and bear steepening following the first two FOMC meetings could indicate that the Fed's credibility is being tested. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has stated an unambiguous intention to bring inflation down to 2%, despite past pressure from President Trump to cut rates. Randall Kroszner, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, noted that there is typically a teething process and communication shift when a new Fed chair takes office.

Why it matters

Rising Treasury yields directly influence global borrowing costs, fixed-income markets, and investor sentiment across international financial systems.

Read the original report — Fortune

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